2009 Annual Risk Analysis Report - Part 1
Table 5: Top ten nationalities refused entry at external EU borders by border type in 2008 HI Nationality All borders Total re orted %of total Land border Land borders Total reported %of total Ukraine ,- - - - - 15,426 12% Ukraine 14,391 I 26% Brazil 11,166 9% Russia 6,431 11% Other (not ~pecified) 9,033 7% Croatia 5,441 10% Russia 7,901 6% Serbia 5,080 9% Croatia 5,707 4% Moldova 5,008 9% - -- Serbia 5,542 4% Belarus 4,239 8% )> Moldova 5,514 4% Turkey 3,195 6% :::, China 5,162 4% FYROM 1,866 3% :::, C Turkey 4,943 4% Other (not specified) 1,664 3% ~ ;o Bosnia and ui" Morocco 4,877 4% 1,510 3% 7' ---- Herzegovina -- )> Others (160 Others (119 CJ) 54,229 42% 7,475 I 13% CJ) CD nationalities nationalities) CJ) CJ) Rounded Total 129,500 100% Rounded Total 56,300 I 100% 3 Air borders HI Brazil Nationality Other (not specified) Total re orted 10,870 6,946 %of total 16% 10% Nationality Morocco _Qther_Ln!)t specified) Total reported 2,933 418 %of total 44% 6% China 4,784 7% Turkey 322 5% United States 2,648 4% Albania 234 3% Nigeria 2 ,610 4% India 220 3% Paraguay 2,465 4% Ukraine 214 3% Venezuela 1,726 3% Russia 181 3% Senegal 1,587 2% Brazil 181 3% Turkey 1,422 2% Philippines 125 2% Russia 1,289 2% Algeria 123 2% Others (155 Others (115 nationalities 30,153 45% nationalities) I 1,749 I 26% Rounded Total 66,500 100% Rounded Total 6,700 I 100% Source: FRAN data as of 9 March 2009
Justification 4 3.3. Illegal stay The detections of illegal stay, broken down by Member States and nat ality, are an important indicator for illegal migration. They should however, not be co sed with the size of the population of illegal migrants in the EU, because many illegal 1grants are not detected and others may be detected several times over the year. etections for illegal stay offer nevertheless some indication on the destinations and sec dary movements of illegal migrants within Member States FRAN data suggests that the number of per ns detected staying ille~ally within the EU totalled 411,800 in 2008. Based on the comg 1son for 27 Member States for which data was available for both 2007 and 2008 this re sented an increased by 13%; 22 of 80 Annual Risk Assessment 2009
Table 7: To ten nationalities detected as il/e al sta in 2008 Total %of Nationality re orted total Other (not specified) 35,974 9% Albania 32 ,964 8% Morocco 29 ,639 7% Brazil 29 ,119 7% Afghanistan 28,064 7% Iraq 27,482 7% Bolivia 16,379 4% Eritrea 15,293 4% India 13,935 3% Algeria 13,030 3% Others (154 169,921 41 % nationalities) Rounded Total 411,800 100% Source: FRAN data as of 9 March 2009
-~-----~ -- -- ~~~~~~~ 111111111•11•111111111111111 I Justification 4 24 of 80 Annual Risk Assessment 2009
3.4. Asylum applications Data on asylum applications is a useful indicator on the trend on migration and, in some cases, on the countries of origin. As a proportion of asylum applicants crossed the EU borders illegally, asylum applications also offer indications on the routes taken by illegal migrants. According to the UNHCR, after reaching a peak over 400,000 applications in 2002, asylum applications in the EU substantially fell after 2002, and since 2005 have stabilised below 250,000 per year. Figure 3: Asylum applications 1998-2008 500,000 7 400,000 300,000 100,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: UNHCR data, January 2009 FRAN data suggests that there altogether 248,200 applications were filed during 2008 in the 10 29 Member States which is an increase of 17% corn ared to 2007 for 28 Member States for which data was available for the two ears. tan ■Justification 4 25 of 80 Annual Risk Assessment 2009
Table 8: To ten nationalities re for as /um in 2008 Total % of Nationality* MS highest share re orted total Iraq 29,100 12% Gv, .. 1any (24%) Other (not specified) 20,707 8% Sweden (43%) Russia 19,716 8% Poland (39%) Somalia 13,401 5% Netherlands (30%) Afghanistan 12,011 5% United Kingdom (29%) Serbia 10,613 4% France (29%) Pakistan 9,956 4% Greece (68%) Iran 6,431 3% United Kingdom (35%) Nigeria 5,876 2% Ireland (17%) Sri Lanka 5,470 2% France (42%) Others (138 nationalities) 114,919 46% France (29%) Rounded Total 248,200 100% Source: FRAN data as of 9 March 2009 26 of 80 Annual Risk Assessment 2009
Justification 4 -
3.5. Detections of false documents Third country nationals using false documents The detections of false documents are an important indicator on the modus operandi for illegal migration . During 2008, border guard authorities reported a total of 20,700 persons detected using false documents at the EU external borders. This represented an increase of 16% from 2007 based on the corn arison for 25 Member States for which data was available for the two 13 ears . The use of false documents is one of the reasons stated by the Schengen borders code for refusal of entry at the entry of EU. As mentioned in the refusal of entr section so far onl a coarse link exits between the two indicators. Justification 4 28 of 80 Annual Risk Assessment 2009
